9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No95%
Yes5%
Total volume
$315K
Liquidity
$17K
Whale volume
$16K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
0%
Probability — No 95%now
98%94%90%
Aug 12 High 96% · Low 92% Sep 12
Recent whale trades 1
BlindGibbon avatar BlindGibbon SELL No $16K 2w ago
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027,...
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BlindGibbon avatar BlindGibbonNo$16K
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