Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Nov 1, 2026
No81%
Yes20%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$15K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$269K
Liquidity
$76K
Whale volume
$15K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
2
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 81%now
95%84%74%
Aug 21 High 92% · Low 78% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET...
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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