Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No92%
Yes8%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$123K from 12 tracked whales.

Total volume
$2.8M
Liquidity
$159K
Whale volume
$196K
Whales tracked
17
Whale trades
23
Whale buy pressure
63%
Probability — No 92%now
99%90%81%
Aug 12 High 97% · Low 84% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET...