China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Sports · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No93%
Yes7%

Whale money here is backing No$88K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$3.3M
Liquidity
$87K
Whale volume
$136K
Whales tracked
4
Whale trades
7
Whale buy pressure
65%
Probability — No 93%now
96%92%89%
Aug 12 High 94% · Low 91% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Taiwan (Republic of China) between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Taiwanese military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile la...
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