Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No84%
Yes17%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$130K from 3 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$127K
Whale volume
$135K
Whales tracked
4
Whale trades
12
Whale buy pressure
96%
Probability — No 84%now
91%85%80%
Aug 11 High 89% · Low 82% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Whales exiting
BlindGibbon avatar BlindGibbonNo$5K
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