Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No88%
Yes13%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$5K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$14K
Liquidity
$29K
Whale volume
$5K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 88%now
90%86%82%
Sep 16 High 88% · Low 84% Sep 16
Recent whale trades 1
fkcvffcjt avatar fkcvffcjt BUY No $5K 11h ago
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Whales entering
fkcvffcjt avatar fkcvffcjtNo$5K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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