Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$42K from 6 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.5M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$79K
Whales tracked
9
Whale trades
12
Whale buy pressure
53%
Probability — No 100%now
100%94%89%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 91% Sep 1
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”). A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify. A closure which applies generally to commerc...