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Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Jul 16, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Resolved: No won. The whale majority backed No — smart money was right here.

Whale money here is backing No$41K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$2.8M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$54K
Whales tracked
4
Whale trades
5
Whale buy pressure
75%
Probability — No
Not enough price history to chart yet.
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”). A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify. A closure which applies generally to commerc...
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