Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No92%
Yes9%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$47K from 6 tracked whales.

Total volume
$715K
Liquidity
$37K
Whale volume
$65K
Whales tracked
7
Whale trades
9
Whale buy pressure
72%
Probability — No 92%now
97%88%79%
Aug 11 High 95% · Low 82% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”). A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify. A closure which applies generally to commerc...
Follow the whales on this market
Get pinged the moment a big trade hits.
Set an alert