Iran leadership change by August 15?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Aug 16, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$10K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$62K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$10K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
2
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 100%now
Not enough price history to chart yet.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of w...
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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