Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$87K from 8 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.6M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$124K
Whales tracked
10
Whale trades
14
Whale buy pressure
70%
Probability — No 100%now
100%95%90%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 92% Sep 1
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limi...