Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No99%
Yes1%

Whale money here is backing No$90K from 9 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$164K
Whale volume
$112K
Whales tracked
10
Whale trades
13
Whale buy pressure
80%
Probability — No 99%now
100%97%94%
Aug 11 High 99% · Low 96% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An an...
Whales exiting
Valen9 avatar Valen9No$12K
Follow the whales on this market
Get pinged the moment a big trade hits.
Set an alert