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NATO article 5 before 2027?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
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No95%
Yes5%

Whale money here is backing No — $8K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$225K
Liquidity
$30K
Whale volume
$8K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 95%now
98%94%90%
Aug 11 High 96% · Low 92% Sep 11
Recent whale trades 1
Trashbag avatar Trashbag BUY No $8K 1w ago
About this market
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Top holders live
vsesoso avatar vsesosoYes$29K LlamaLoco0000 avatar LlamaLoco0000Yes$28K gorovi avatar goroviNo$27K NeH avatar NeHNo$24K whysoslow avatar whysoslowYes$23K Trashbag avatar TrashbagNo$13K QWETR12345 avatar QWETR12345No$10K Anomymous avatar AnomymousNo$8K
Whales entering
Trashbag avatar TrashbagNo$8K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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