Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Nov 30, 2026
No88%
Yes13%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$12K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$308K
Liquidity
$100K
Whale volume
$17K
Whales tracked
3
Whale trades
3
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 88%now
96%80%65%
Aug 12 High 92% · Low 70% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and November 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been pub...
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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