Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Sep 15, 2026
No100%
Yes0%
71 · Leaning buy

Whale money here is backing No$472K from 13 tracked whales.

Total volume
$2.2M
Liquidity
$415K
Whale volume
$640K
Whales tracked
17
Whale trades
35
Whale buy pressure
74%
Probability — No 100%now
100%92%84%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 87% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been pu...