Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Sep 30, 2026
No98%
Yes2%
37 · Leaning sell

Whale money here is backing No$872K from 45 tracked whales.

Total volume
$8.4M
Liquidity
$285K
Whale volume
$1.4M
Whales tracked
57
Whale trades
108
Whale buy pressure
71%
Probability — No 98%now
100%90%80%
Aug 12 High 99% · Low 84% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been pu...