Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Business · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No97%
Yes3%

Whale money here is backing No$34K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$370K
Liquidity
$34K
Whale volume
$55K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
6
Whale buy pressure
61%
Probability — No 97%now
99%95%91%
Aug 12 High 97% · Low 93% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change...
Whales entering
schizohedgehog avatar schizohedgehogNo$12K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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