US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No95%
Yes6%

Whale money here is backing No$81K from 5 tracked whales.

Total volume
$2.2M
Liquidity
$91K
Whale volume
$165K
Whales tracked
8
Whale trades
12
Whale buy pressure
49%
Probability — No 95%now
98%94%91%
Aug 11 High 96% · Low 93% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qu...