US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Sep 11, 2026
Yes96%
No4%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing Yes$9K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$247K
Liquidity
$52K
Whale volume
$9K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 96%now
100%65%31%
Sep 2 High 96% · Low 43% Sep 15
Recent whale trades 1
ScottyNooo avatar ScottyNooo BUY Yes $9K 8h ago
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed...
Whales entering
ScottyNooo avatar ScottyNoooYes$9K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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