Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes75%
No25%

Whale money here is backing Yes$5K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$608K
Liquidity
$7K
Whale volume
$5K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 75%now
82%70%58%
Aug 11 High 79% · Low 62% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market...
Whales entering
russell110320 avatar russell110320Yes$5K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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