Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$20K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$50K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$20K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
2
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes
Not enough price history to chart yet.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns a model that ranks within the top 10, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meitu...
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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