Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Aug 4, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$7K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$29K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$7K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 99%now
100%98%97%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 99% Aug 25
Recent whale trades 1
C6H6 avatar C6H6 BUY Yes $7K 2w ago
About this market
Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid v...
Whales entering
C6H6 avatar C6H6Yes$7K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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