Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 6, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$9K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$78K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$9K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 100%now
100%83%67%
Aug 21 High 100% · Low 73% Sep 7
Recent whale trades 1
Flipadelphia avatar Flipadelphia BUY No $9K 5d ago
About this market
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second...
Whales entering
Flipadelphia avatar FlipadelphiaNo$9K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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