Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes70%
No30%

Whale money here is backing Yes$5K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$59K
Liquidity
$19K
Whale volume
$5K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 70%now
100%70%41%
Aug 12 High 94% · Low 51% Sep 12
Recent whale trades 1
GoriIIa avatar GoriIIa BUY Yes $5K 1w ago
About this market
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026. This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections. No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026. A delayed election to any...
Whales entering
GoriIIa avatar GoriIIaYes$5K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
Follow the whales on this market
Get pinged the moment a big trade hits.
Set an alert