Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2028
No89%
Yes12%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$343K from 7 tracked whales.

Total volume
$3.2M
Liquidity
$204K
Whale volume
$653K
Whales tracked
13
Whale trades
36
Whale buy pressure
53%
Probability — No 89%now
92%88%85%
Aug 12 High 90% · Low 87% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will a...