Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jul 1, 2027
No93%
Yes7%
Total volume
$445K
Liquidity
$89K
Whale volume
$14K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
2
Whale buy pressure
0%
Probability — No 93%now
96%93%90%
Aug 13 High 94% · Low 92% Sep 13
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also...
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