Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$5K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$2.1M
Liquidity
$86K
Whale volume
$42K
Whales tracked
3
Whale trades
4
Whale buy pressure
13%
Probability — No 100%now
100%98%96%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 98% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will...
Whales entering
Trained-Notion avatar Trained-NotionNo$5K
Follow the whales on this market
Get pinged the moment a big trade hits.
Set an alert