Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 10, 2026
No98%
Yes2%

Whale money here is backing No$68K from 4 tracked whales.

Total volume
$4.5M
Liquidity
$311K
Whale volume
$122K
Whales tracked
9
Whale trades
13
Whale buy pressure
55%
Probability — No 98%now
100%97%95%
Aug 13 High 99% · Low 97% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the...