Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 4, 2026
No50%
Yes50%
75 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing Yes$102K from 11 tracked whales.

Total volume
$10.5M
Liquidity
$178K
Whale volume
$157K
Whales tracked
15
Whale trades
20
Whale buy pressure
73%
Probability — No 51%now
79%58%38%
Aug 12 High 73% · Low 45% Sep 12
About this market
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral...