Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No85%
Yes15%
61 · Leaning buy

Whale money here is backing No$40K from 6 tracked whales.

Total volume
$538K
Liquidity
$27K
Whale volume
$61K
Whales tracked
6
Whale trades
9
Whale buy pressure
66%
Probability — No 85%now
94%88%83%
Aug 11 High 92% · Low 85% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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