Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 4, 2026
No77%
Yes23%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$35K from 3 tracked whales.

Total volume
$590K
Liquidity
$68K
Whale volume
$35K
Whales tracked
3
Whale trades
5
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 77%now
100%84%69%
Aug 11 High 96% · Low 74% Sep 11
About this market
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this...
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