Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
Yes92%
No8%

Whale money here is backing No$28K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$96K
Whale volume
$52K
Whales tracked
4
Whale trades
5
Whale buy pressure
88%
Probability — Yes 92%now
100%68%36%
Aug 11 High 93% · Low 47% Sep 11
About this market
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or neg...
Whales exiting
paddaa avatar paddaaYes$590
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