Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
Business · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 15, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$6K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$165K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$6K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 95%now
100%61%23%
Aug 12 High 99% · Low 37% Sep 4
Recent whale trades 1
GlobalMuffin avatar GlobalMuffin BUY Yes $6K 1w ago
About this market
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, As...
Whales entering
GlobalMuffin avatar GlobalMuffinYes$6K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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