Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No61%
Yes39%

Whale money here is backing Yes$93K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$891K
Liquidity
$74K
Whale volume
$98K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
8
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 61%now
66%51%36%
Aug 11 High 62% · Low 41% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian con...
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