Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No98%
Yes2%

Whale money here is backing No$8K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$217K
Liquidity
$26K
Whale volume
$8K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 98%now
100%92%84%
Aug 11 High 99% · Low 87% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian con...
Whales entering
anotherpatrick avatar anotherpatrickNo$8K
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