Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No83%
Yes18%
49 · Mixed

Whale money here is backing No$31K from 4 tracked whales.

Total volume
$106K
Liquidity
$3K
Whale volume
$63K
Whales tracked
4
Whale trades
8
Whale buy pressure
49%
Probability — No 83%now
95%73%52%
Aug 11 High 89% · Low 59% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET. The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicatin...
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