Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Aug 31, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$15K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$505K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$15K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 98%now
100%51%3%
Aug 12 High 99% · Low 21% Aug 19
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ru...
Whales entering
tsybka avatar tsybkaYes$15K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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