Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 30, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$57K from 3 tracked whales.

Total volume
$709K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$86K
Whales tracked
5
Whale trades
10
Whale buy pressure
66%
Probability — Yes 99%now
100%76%53%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 62% Aug 19
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicat...
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