Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 1, 2026
No95%
Yes5%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$8K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$163K
Liquidity
$6K
Whale volume
$8K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 95%now
100%95%91%
Aug 18 High 98% · Low 93% Sep 18
Recent whale trades 1
hiyan avatar hiyan BUY No $8K 12h ago
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the train station in Orikhiv (47.559860° N, 35.786219° E), Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control mus...
Whales entering
hiyan avatar hiyanNo$8K
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