Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Crypto · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No96%
Yes4%

Whale money here is backing No$31K from 2 tracked whales.

Total volume
$5M
Liquidity
$48K
Whale volume
$89K
Whales tracked
6
Whale trades
9
Whale buy pressure
35%
Probability — No 96%now
98%95%93%
Aug 12 High 96% · Low 95% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
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