Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
Business · prediction market · Open · resolves Jul 1, 2027
Yes84%
No16%

Whale money here is backing Yes$5K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$34K
Liquidity
$10K
Whale volume
$5K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 84%now
92%83%74%
Aug 13 High 90% · Low 77% Sep 13
Recent whale trades 1
GonTanaka avatar GonTanaka BUY Yes $5K 2w ago
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the booster for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source...
Whales entering
GonTanaka avatar GonTanakaYes$5K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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