Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$14K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$241K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$14K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 100%now
100%95%90%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 92% Sep 1
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Spanish government explicitly claims that Moroccan authorities deliberately caused or facilitated the influx of migrants that occurred in the Spanish territory of Ceuta on July 30, 2026, by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Such a claim requires an on-the-record public statement issued by an authorized person or entity representing the Spanish Central government, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Moroccan authorities deliberately caused or facilitated the influx. A statement from a la...
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aff3 avatar aff3No$14K
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