Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
5%
6W · 113L settled
Profit & loss
−$386K
-78% ROI
Betting now
19
open positions
Total traded
$35K
1 large trade
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 19
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$41K
+$6K
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$35K
−$5K
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$12K
−$1K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$9K
−$550
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
$8K
+$99
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$5K
+$4K
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
$1K
−$1K
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
$843
+$720
If you’d copied 99problems123
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$3,930 (-79% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
−$70K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
−$63K
WON
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
+$26K
LOST
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
−$25K
LOST
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
−$21K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
−$15K
LOST
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
−$11K
LOST
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
−$10K
LOST
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
−$9K
LOST
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
−$7K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
−$7K
LOST
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
−$7K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
−$6K
LOST
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
−$6K