WON Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? +$8K WON Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? +$6K WON Starmer out by June 30, 2026? +$4K WON Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election? +$3K LOST Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? −$2K WON Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01? +$2K LOST Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? −$2K WON Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? +$713 WON Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? +$476 WON Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? +$434 WON Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? +$342 WON Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? +$231 WON Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? +$155 WON Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? +$152