WON Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? +$9K WON Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation? +$3K WON Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation? +$881 WON Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation? +$720 WON Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? +$703 WON Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation? +$620 WON Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? +$372 WON Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation? +$236 LOST Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? −$182 LOST Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? −$145 WON Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation? +$143 WON Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? +$77 WON Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? +$46 WON Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? +$16