Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
64%
28W · 16L settled
Profit & loss
−$3K
-24% ROI
Betting now
5
open positions
Total traded
$6K
1 large trade
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 5
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
$5K
−$987
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
$2K
+$98
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
$1K
−$150
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
$1K
+$175
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
$600
−$47
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Betting a flat $100 on their last 44 settled bets:
+$1,200 (+27% on $4,400 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
US military action against Iran before July?
+$3K
WON
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
+$2K
WON
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?
+$1K
LOST
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
−$949
WON
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
+$820
WON
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
+$715
WON
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
+$674
WON
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
+$628
WON
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
+$575
WON
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
+$549
WON
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
+$543
WON
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
+$541
WON
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?
+$540
WON
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?
+$522