WON Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? +$73K WON Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? +$57K WON Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? +$53K LOST Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? −$36K LOST Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? −$29K WON Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? +$23K WON Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? +$21K LOST Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? −$17K LOST Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? −$17K WON Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? +$16K WON Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? +$16K WON Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? +$15K LOST Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? −$13K LOST US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? −$13K