WON Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? +$13K WON Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? +$10K WON Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31? +$9K WON Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? +$7K LOST Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 −$6K WON Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? +$6K WON James Madison vs. Oregon +$5K LOST Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? −$4K WON Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? +$2K WON Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? +$2K WON US military action on Yemen before July? +$2K WON Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025? +$2K WON Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed? +$2K WON Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? +$2K