Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
81%
58W · 14L settled
Profit & loss
−$55K
-91% ROI
Betting now
8
open positions
Total traded
$22K
3 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 8
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
$4K
−$943
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
$1K
−$901
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
$1K
−$238
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
$785
−$477
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
$188
+$32
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$118
−$53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1
+$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1
+$0
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Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
+$2,200 (+44% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
+$70K
WON
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
+$69K
WON
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
+$65K
WON
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
+$50K
WON
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
+$50K
WON
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
+$50K
WON
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
+$40K
WON
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
+$33K
WON
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
+$31K
LOST
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
−$23K
WON
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
+$23K
WON
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
+$21K
LOST
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
−$20K
WON
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?
+$19K