Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
10%
14W · 122L settled
Profit & loss
−$495K
-80% ROI
Betting now
8
open positions
Total traded
$205K
10 large trades
Recent results newest first
L
L
L
L
L
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L
W
L
Betting on now 8
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$63K
+$5K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$59K
+$45K
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
$6K
−$2K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
$764
−$464
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
$578
−$451
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
$478
+$239
New pandemic in 2026?
$64
−$33
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
$17
+$0
If you’d copied HorribleWork
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$4,200 (-84% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
−$91K
WON
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$75K
WON
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals
+$75K
LOST
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
−$62K
LOST
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
−$60K
WON
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$57K
WON
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
+$51K
LOST
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
−$38K
LOST
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
−$34K
LOST
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
−$22K
LOST
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals
−$17K
LOST
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
−$16K
LOST
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
−$15K
LOST
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
−$15K